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Friday, April 4, 2025

The chance of a hen flu pandemic is rising


Virologists have been particularly frightened concerning the virus making its manner into pigs, as a result of these animals are infamous viral incubators. “They’ll turn into contaminated with swine strains, hen strains and human strains,” says Brinkley Bellotti, an infectious illness epidemiologist at Wake Forest College in North Carolina. These strains can swap genes and provides rise to new, doubtlessly extra infectious or dangerous strains.

Fortunately, we haven’t seen another instances in pig farms, and there’s no proof that the virus can unfold between pigs. And whereas it has been spreading fairly quickly between cattle, the virus doesn’t appear to have advanced a lot, says Seema Lakdawala, a virologist on the Emory College College of Drugs in Atlanta, Georgia. That implies that the virus made the leap into cattle, in all probability from birds, solely as soon as. And it has been spreading via herds since.

Sadly, we nonetheless don’t actually know how it’s spreading. There may be some proof to recommend the virus may be unfold from cow to cow via shared milking tools. However it’s unclear how the virus is spreading between farms. “It’s exhausting to kind an efficient management technique while you don’t know precisely the way it’s spreading,” says Bellotti.

However it’s in cows. And it’s of their milk. When scientists analyzed 297 samples of Grade A pasteurized retail milk merchandise, together with milk, cream and cheese, they discovered viral RNA from H5N1 in 20% of them. These samples have been collected from 17 states throughout the US. And the research was carried out in April, simply weeks after the virus was first detected in cattle. “It’s stunning to me that we’re completely tremendous with … our pasteurized milk merchandise containing viral DNA,” says Lakdawala.

Analysis means that, so long as the milk is pasteurized, the virus just isn’t infectious. However Lakdawala is worried that pasteurization might not inactivate all the virus, on a regular basis. “We don’t understand how a lot virus we have to ingest [to become infected], and whether or not any goes to slide via pasteurization,” she says.

And no reassurances may be made for unpasteurized uncooked milk. When cows are contaminated with H5N1, their milk can flip thick, yellow and “chunky.” However analysis has proven that, even when the milk begins to look regular once more, it could nonetheless comprise doubtlessly infectious virus.

Probably the most regarding improvement, although, is the rise in human instances. To date, 55 such instances of H5N1 hen flu have been reported within the US, based on the US Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC). Twenty-nine of these instances have been detected in California. In virtually all these instances, the contaminated particular person is assumed to have caught the virus from cattle or poultry on farms. However in two of these instances, the supply of the an infection is unknown.

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